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Inflation: WPI & CPI

Economy Advanced · मुद्रास्फीति: WPI और CPI · 18 facts

1

Inflation: Sustained increase in the general price level of goods and services; reduces purchasing power of money.

2

CPI (Consumer Price Index): Measures retail price changes; base year 2012; released monthly by MoSPI; used by RBI for monetary policy decisions.

3

WPI (Wholesale Price Index): Measures producer/wholesale price changes; base year 2011-12; released monthly by DPIIT (Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade); 697 items.

4

CPI components and weights: Food and beverages 45.86%, Housing 10.07%, Fuel and Light 6.84%, Clothing 6.53%, Miscellaneous 30.32%.

5

Core inflation: Excludes food and fuel prices (volatile); reflects persistent inflation; also called underlying inflation; key for monetary policy.

6

Headline inflation: Includes all items including food and fuel; more volatile; what is commonly reported in news; CPI headline = overall CPI.

7

Stagflation: Simultaneous occurrence of high inflation AND high unemployment and stagnant growth; worst economic condition; rare but devastating.

8

Deflation: General decrease in price levels; negative inflation rate; can be harmful — reduces consumption as people delay purchases expecting further price falls.

9

Disinflation: Decrease in the rate of inflation; prices still rising but more slowly; different from deflation (where prices actually fall).

10

RBI inflation target: 4% CPI ±2% band (2%-6%); set by Government under Section 45ZA of RBI Act; MPC must explain in writing if target missed for 3 consecutive quarters.

11

Skewflation: When food price inflation distorts overall CPI even though non-food inflation is controlled; affects India frequently due to high food weight in CPI (45.86%).

12

Cost-push inflation: Rising input costs (wages, raw materials, oil) push up prices; RBI cannot control through monetary policy effectively.

13

Demand-pull inflation: Excess demand in economy pulls up prices; RBI can address by raising repo rate (reducing money supply and demand).

14

Phillips Curve: Inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment; high inflation associated with low unemployment and vice versa; short-run relationship.

15

Hyperinflation: Inflation exceeds 50% per month; Zimbabwe in 2007-08 had 89.7 sextillion% annually; destroys currency value rapidly.

16

Base Effect: When comparing year-on-year prices, a low base in previous year inflates current inflation rate; high base deflates it; distorts annual comparison.

17

India's inflation 2022-23: Remained above 6% upper tolerance band for several months due to global commodity prices, Russia-Ukraine war impact.

18

Food inflation in India: Driven by supply side factors (monsoon failure, storage losses, supply chain disruption); monetary policy has limited impact on food inflation.